What would you do? Poker hand of the Week.

[colonel1]

Hi Y'all,

Sorry for the delay, but here's what I shall call poker hand of the Month as it's been that long since I've posted.

I'm playing in a $30 Hold 'em tournament, the blinds are 100/200, and I have 5225 chip stack.

I am the last to act on the button and I make the standard raise to 600 with

    ,

SB ponders a decision, then puts 2036 all in, and BB folds.

So here I am put to a tough decision and have to do some maths on the run, to work out my pot odds. So, I have 600 in the pot and I have to call 1436 to win  
4272. So I'm getting 2-1 on my money to make the call, if SB had 3000 or more chips to begin the hand, I would not be getting the right odds to call. But with only 2K I am right on the border.

In most cases if you getting 2-1 on your money, unless there are other things to consider like proximity to the bubble, or your stack size, you usually must call with any 2 cards.

Given my hand these are the hands I may be up against and the odds:

     vs      (one over one under) odds - 40%/60%

     vs      (2 in the middle) odds 43%/57%

     vs      (over cards vs a pair) odds 48%/52%
 
     vs       (one over card) odds 32%/68%

     vs       (dominated hand) odds  29%/71%

     vs       ( 2 under cards)  odds 18%/82%

So 5 out of 6 of these situations I am getting roughly 1-2 or better odds to call, only in 1 case am I making a bad call.

If you have any thoughts or ideas, on why or why not to make this call please post, I look forward to more hands of the week in the future. I will post what hand I was up against later in the tread.

Caio Y'all

[blueday]

Hi Rob,

I've sat here and written two replies and cancelled them both without replying.

I think you made the right move with the pre-flop raise - always worth a min raise with that hand. 

As to calling his all in - I really don't know whether to say I would have or not.  How many players were in the game and what position were you?  What was the biggest stack?  What was the player's previous play like?

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[blueday]

Rob,

I'm bumping this topic as it's been a while.

blue

[allgood2010]

Fold - small blind going all in after a preflop raise already more than likely means he has a good one and can collect some easy chips either with his hand or by others folding their chips.  Definately fold.

[colonel1]

Hi, my name is Robert Ginnane, and I'm sponsored by LPB to play tournament poker. Sorry for the delay, I actually enjoy posting these hands but have forgotten of late.  You can check out my blog here http://www.latestpokerbonuses.com/poker-blog/colonel1/. I will be taking 1 hand from my tournament play each week, and ask you the question:

What would you do?

I briefly mentioned this hand in my blog, but here's what happened:

Blinds are 350/700 antes are 85. I have 12,000 chips and we are not far off the money but not right on. My opponenet also has about 12,000 chips.

I min-raise on the button with     to 1400 chips

BB calls. The flop is      .

I bet 1400, and BB calls.

The turn is  .

BB checks, and I check also.

The river is another  

I call a 4,500 chip river bet.

What do you think of this hand? If you haven't read my blog, what do you suppose he/she has?

Thanks Y'all

Rob

[alexforth]

I would guess he has sth. like AQ, AK. Probably AK, although he migh have raised you all in preflop with AK+ - however I don't know his style.

Really don't know what to be afraid of with top two. Would have called on the river and also valuebet the turn. Why didn't you bet the turn hard? The only hand that actually beats you is a slow played set and a kamikaze KQ - so why not to value bet the turn?!? That's actually a huge mistake, in my eies.

Now I read that he had K10 - sick play. I didn't 100% like your donk conti bet on the flop, but it's ok. He plaied bad in this hand. If he was a loose-passiv player, you might give him KQ or a 10, but that would be a read like - every time when he bets the river hard he has sth. strong + he is a donk and doesn't use this image in his advantage.  

[blueday]

I certainly would have bet big on the turn to either (1) test the water or (2) steal the pot there and then.  

I think he may have been chasing a straight.  If he had it on the turn, why didn't he bet.  I don't think he made his straight either.  

I think you walked all over his 89 or something around that area.

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[colonel1]

Sorry, just to clarify I made a slight error in my blog which has now been corrected with regards to my opponents hand. I welcome criticism, please fell open to discuss different and/or better way's to play my hand of the week, that's the whole point.

I am a little absent minded and make slight posting errors occasionally.
I will be posting my answer in a day or so,

Thanks
Y'all

[Tim]

hmm looks like he was chasing a straight and then decided to bluff on the river.  I hope that was true otherwise if he did hit the straight or had a 10 I'm guessing you'd be feeling rather sad in the pants after that

[lipstick_xoxos]

He is the BB, and since you made a min. raise it was worth staying in the game for him.

He allowed you to lead all the way until the river where he came in for the kill and tripled the bet. I think he didn't have more than a pair of Jacks. The fact that you ck'd at the turn probably made him think you didn't have the Ace.  

It is a tough call to predict the best way to play this hand not knowing what kind of player your opponent is. Since you initiated the raise in the first place i think i would of raised his ck. Of course this could of been a trap if he had a str8 or trip 10's. But i think would of stood behind my hand and been a bit more aggressive.

Lips

[colonel1]

Ok,

So I minimum raise 1400 chips on the button. I standard 3x BB raise is usually on the cards, but I like to mix it up sometimes, give my opposition the chance to make a miss-step re-raise, as A-J is a big hand on the button with no previous raisers.

My flop bet is probably a big mistake. With a flop of A-J-9 I bet 1400 into a pot of about 3500 chips. Once again I think I had it in my mind to give my opponent a chance to re-raise but under betting the flop, attempting to look weak.

The turn is a 10 which doesn't look too threatening. But I cautiously check behind.

The river brings a nothing card. If my opponent doesn't bet, I would value bet the river.  But he leads out with a big river bet of about 5K.  I cautiously call.

My opponent turns over K-Q for the nut str8. I was probably my own worst enemy in this hand. But calling with just a gut-shot str8 draw by my opponent is still a bit dubious.

Cheers,
Rob

[blueday]

Very unlucky indeed.

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[carlito brigante]

Nothing wrong with the preflop raise 2xbb or 3xbb is ok when its mucked to you
on the button with AJ .
I really dont like the 1400 bet on the flop into a 3500 pot i much prefer betting
about 3/4 (about 2550) of the pot there even with top 2 .
Like you say his play is still pretty bad at this point still calling hoping to hit his 4 outer
gutshot 10 to make his str8 .
i dont mind the check check on the turn .
But once he bets the river you have to say to yourself what am i beating here ?
yes you have 2 pair but he isnt betting that river with nothing he wants you to pay him and you did . The way he played the hand im putting him on J 10 , Q 10 , im not
really putting him on KQ to be honest .
So when he bets that river im mucking my AJ sometimes you have to make good folds
to stay alive in this game you cant call everytime hoping the guys bluffing .

In summary preflop bet is fine imo.
Bet bigger on the flop .
Im foldinr to his bet on the river because of the way he played the hand .

[carlito brigante]

Not wanting to derail but how did Rob become sponsored by LPB ?
Im guessing its just a voluntary thing on Robs behalf and he puts up a blog
and discusses hands on LBP. (Not really sponsorship is it?)
 

[blueday]

Not wanting to derail but how did Rob become sponsored by LPB ?
Im guessing its just a voluntary thing on Robs behalf and he puts up a blog
and discusses hands on LBP. (Not really sponsorship is it?)
 

Well sponsorship to me means that a person is "funded" and I would say that he has been funded to play tournaments by LatestPokerBonuses.

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